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Diagnostic model

Model churn scenarios before revenue slips.

Stress-test your retention assumptions. Quantify how renewal, contraction, and expansion compound into meaningful revenue risk or upside.

What this shows

  • The revenue impact of churn over the period you choose.
  • Where net negative churn becomes possible.
  • Whether retention holds against your growth targets.

Scenario inputs

Adjust the levers.

01

Baseline recurring revenue

€

Annual recurring revenue entering the period.

mos

Months to project. The annual rates below compound over this period.

02

Annual retention rates

%

% of revenue renewing each year, before upsell or expansion.

%

Yearly growth from existing customers.

%

Yearly revenue lost to downgrades (not non-renewals).

Projected outcome

Ending ARR

N/A

Net retention

N/A

Impact

N/A

Revenue waterfall

Renewed ARR N/A
Expansion N/A
Contraction N/A
Lost (churn) N/A
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Next steps

Tell me what’s not working.

Tell me what you’re trying to achieve and where things feel uncertain. I’ll reply within 24 hours with a clear path forward.

What happens next

  1. You share your website, work email, and any context.
  2. I review your website, messaging, and enquiry journey myself.
  3. Within five business days, I email you three prioritised improvements. No sales call is required.